Euro 2024 odds for the outright winner: England and Spain in the final
UEFA Euro 2024 gets underway in Germany on 14th June, with the final in Berlin on 14th July.
For just over one month, the best stadiums in Germany will hosted the top football nations on the continent as they attempt to win the 2024 Euros.
According to the latest Euro 2024 odds, England is not the favourite to win the finals. But Gareth Southgate and his team are carrying the expectations of a nation as the final approaches.
The question is, can England handle Spain in the final at their best?
Top offers for the 2024 Euros outright
Latest Euro 2024 winner odds
- Spain 4/6
- England 6/5
England’s odds to win the 2024 Euros
Anybody who has followed England in recent years and knows a bit about betting knows that England doesn’t usually enter tournaments as the betting favourites.
They may have been favourites with some bookies to win the 2020 European Championship. But that was down to the final being at Wembley, and effectively a home competition for Southgate’s men.
This competition is in Germany. And with the Germans traditionally the footballing powerhouse of Europe, England has no right to enter the competition as the betting favourites.
So why are England among the favourites for the title? Well, look at the squad of players they have to choose from and managed to get them in the final with Spain. And more importantly, look at the form of some of England’s key attacking players.
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Harry Kane will spearhead the attack. The England captain has been breaking records galore since he transferred to Bavaria. His Bayern team may have failed to win the Bundesliga. But Kane has done his job for the team. Of that, there can be no doubt.
Playing just behind Kane for England is going to be Jude Bellingham. He has been an absolute revelation since he transferred to Spain to play for Real Madrid.
At just 20 years of age, Bellingham is performing like a seasoned pro at the top level. If the former Birmingham City star is nowhere near his best at such a tender age, then it’s scary to think how good he can become.
On the flanks, England will have Manchester City’s Phil Foden and Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka. Both are playing at an incredibly high level this season, as is Declan Rice, the man set to anchor the midfield.
In short, England have five of the in-form players in Europe this season. So it’s not hard to see why they are the betting favourites to win Euro 2024.
Euro 2024 favourites
England isn’t the only nation competing in the tournament, and a look at the teams they will have to overcome to win the championship should send a shiver down the spine of many a Three Lions fan.
🇪🇸 Spain (2/3)
Expect Luis de la Fuente’s team to dominate the possession in Germany this summer. They always do. If, and this is a huge if, Spain can turn possession into goals, they would be the best team in the world.
⚽ Bet on Spain at 2/3 with Sky Bet ⚽
🇳🇱 Netherlands (-)
In their recent 4-0 friendly win over Scotland, Ronald Koeman’s team looked anything but potential winners, despite the scoreline. In the 2022 World Cup, the Dutch went out to eventual winners Argentina in the quarter-finals. They lost on penalties, but the truth is they were lucky to take the match that deep. Now they managed to get to the semi-finals after England defeated them 2-1.
🇫🇷 France (-)
Anybody who wants to win the Euro 2024 trophy will have to overcome France which is what Spain did exactly in semi-finals.
The French are the 2018 FIFA World Cup winners, and they also got to the 2022 World Cup final in Qatar, with the majority of players set to make up their Euro 2024 squad. In Didier Deschamps, they have a manager who has done it all as a player and coach. And with Kylian Mbappe, they have probably the best play in the world. It’s not hard to see why the French were a lot of people’s betting tip to win the competition.
🇵🇹 Portugal (-)
When you look down the list of the Portuguese national team you wonder why they haven’t been more competitive in the latter stages of major competitions. In Euro 2020, they went out to Belgium in the Round of 16. In the 2022 World Cup, they lost to Morocco in the last eight. If all goes to form, expect the Portuguese to falter when they face the stronger teams later in the competition.
🇩🇪 Germany (-)
As the host nation, the Germans will always have a chance. Up until the March international break, the Germans had been in poor form in recent months, a run which saw Hansi Flick become the first German manager to ever be sacked. They also have a poor competition record since winning the FIFA World Cup in 2014. Not the strongest side in the competition, but the Germans still have the players to beat anybody on their day.
Germany lost 2-1 to Spain after extra time in quarter-finals.
🇮🇹 Italy (-)
The Italians are the defending champions having defeated England on penalties to win Euro 2020. They somehow managed to not qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup. And they were comfortably second best to England in qualifying for this tournament.
This time, they were eliminated in the round of 16 after a 2-0 loss against Switzerland.
🇦🇹 Austria (-)
How’s your luck? The Austrians have ended up in Group D with Poland, the Netherlands and France. They qualified comfortably for the finals, finishing second to Belgium in Group F by just a single point.
They were knocked out by Turkiye in round of 16 phase after a 2-1 score.
🇧🇪 Belgium (-)
We keep hearing this is the last chance of the Belgian golden generation. Okay, the likes of Kevin de Bruyne are on the wrong side of 30, but there is some serious talent coming through and Belgium which gave them a genuine chance of doing well.
Belgium gave France a hard time in the round of 16, but eventually lost 1-0.
🇨🇭 Switzerland (-)
The Swiss are one of those teams that always seem to qualify for the major championships but rarely make it to the latter stages. At Euro 2020, they made it into the quarter-finals, claiming the scalp of France along the way, before losing to Spain. At the 2022 World Cup, they lost 6-1 to Portugal in the Round of 16.
Switzerland gave England a tough fight in the quarter-finals, but the Three Lions managed to pull through after penalties.
🇩🇰 Denmark (-)
The Danes made it to the semi-final of Euro 2020 and were unlucky to lose to England at Wembley, with Gareth Southgate’s team needing extra time to see Kasper Hjulmand’s team off. In the 2022 World Cup, the Danes failed to make it past the group stage. Their quarter finals ambitions were ended after the 2-0 loss against Germany.
🇹🇷 Türkiye (-)
Türkiye qualified for 2024 Euro by winning Group D with 17 points from eight matches. This saw Vincenzo Montella’s team finish above Croatia and was a welcome boost after they failed to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. The Turks are a dangerous side, but we don’t expect them to still be involved in the latter stages. Turkiye had their semi-finals hopes dashed by Netherlands after the 2-1 loss.
🇷🇴 Romania (-)
Romania have been drawn in Group E alongside Ukraine, Slovakia and Belgium. After qualifying as the comfortable winners of Group I, they may fancy their chances of a run to the knockout stages in Germany, which they managed only to be outscored by Netherlands in round of 16.
🇸🇰 Slovakia (-)
Drawn in Group E alongside Ukraine, Romania and Belgium, the Slovaks may have an eye on upsetting the odds and making it to the knockout stages of the competition. They qualified for Germany by finishing second to Portugal in Group J with an impressive 22 points from ten games.
After leading for almost 85 minutes, Slovakia have lost the lead, finishing 90 minutes with a draw against England, and losing the game 2-1 in the round of 16 phase.
🇬🇪 Georgia (-)
Georgia had to rely on the playoff route to get to Germany after finishing fourth in Group A qualifying with just eight points from eight games. Somewhat against the odds, they overcame Luxembourg and Greece in the playoffs to take their place at Euro 2024.
After the brilliant display against Portugal (2-0), Georgia faced Spain and lost the game 4-1.
🇸🇮 Slovenia (-)
Slovenia take their place in Group C alongside England, Denmark and Serbia. It looks like finishing as one of the best third-placed teams got them the chance to progress into the knockout stages. After giving Portugal a hard time, they lost on penalties.
🇭🇷 Croatia (-)
With Luka Modric still pulling the strings in midfield, Croatia are a nation that no one will fancy playing. The team never seems to know when they are beaten, and as they showed at the 2018 and 2022 World Cups, they are a match for anybody on their day. For some reason, their record at the Euros doesn’t match their World Cup exploits and now they are out of the competition.
🇷🇸 Serbia (-)
The Serbs find themselves in Group C with England, Denmark and Slovenia. They didn’t qualify for Euro 2020, and in the 2022 FIFA World Cup, they went out in the group stages, finishing bottom of Group G with just one point from three games.
Now history repeats itself as Serbia is one of the first teams to be knocked out of the competition with last place in Group C.
🇺🇦 Ukraine (-)
After falling so desperately short in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, Ukraine made no mistake in the playoffs for this summer’s Euros. A 2-1 win away to Bosnia and Herzegovina was followed by a 2-1 win over Iceland in the playoff final. The Ukrainians had to come from a goal down to clinch their place.
🇵🇱 Poland (-)
The Poles had to go through the trauma of the playoffs to seal their spot in Germany this summer. After finishing third behind Albania and the Czech Republic in qualifying, Poland needed penalties to see off Wales on a nail-biting night in Cardiff to claim the final place in Group D alongside the Netherlands, France and Austria.
Now they have no chance of qualifying for the second phase of the tournament, as they've lost their first two games.
🇭🇺 Hungary (-)
Liverpool midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai will be key to Hungary’s chances of advancing out of Group A. The Hungarians do have a chance as Group A is very open. Germany is beatable and you can take your pick between the Swiss and Scotland.
🇨🇿 Czech Republic (-)
The Czech Republic qualified for Euro 2024 by finishing second to Albania in Group E. Qualification wasn’t comfortable, with a 1-1 draw away to third-place Poland in their penultimate match, the key result that saw them qualify. In Germany, the Czechs have been drawn in Group F alongside Portugal, Turkiye and Georgia.
🏴 Scotland (-)
The Scots seem to have run out of form at exactly the wrong time. Steve Clarke’s men got off to a flyer in qualifying and were home and dry in Group A with plenty to spare. But since then, form has deserted the Tartan Army and they have been conceding goals at an alarming rate.
Positions for Group A are now final, and Scotland is definitely out of the race at 4th place.
🇦🇱 Albania (-)
After qualifying as the winners of Group E, Albania may feel slightly aggrieved at the bookmakers for putting them down as one of the betting no hopes at Euro 2024. They have been drawn in a Group B alongside Italy, Spain and Croatia, which may go a long way to explaining their lengthy Euro 2024 winner odds.
Still, the success in qualifications wasn't enough for the Albanian side, as they are eliminated after the group stage of the tournament.
Euro 2024 groups and results
| Group A | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2. Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3. Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4. Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Group B | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2. Italy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3. Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 4. Albania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Group C | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. England | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 2. Denmark | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3. Slovenia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4. Serbia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Group D | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Austria | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 2. France | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3. Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4. Poland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Group E | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Romania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2. Belgium | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3. Slovakia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4. Ukraine | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Group F | MP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Portugal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 2. Türkiye | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3. Georgia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4. Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
England’s Group C fixtures
| Date | Match | Location | Results |
| June 16 | England vs Serbia | Gelsenkirchen | 1-0 |
| June 20 | England vs Denmark | Frankfurt | 1-1 |
| June 25 | England vs Slovenia | Cologne | 0-0 |
England's matchups after the group stage
England were just 2/5 to win Group C at Euro 2024. To qualify from the group, Gareth Southgate's team were 1/25 and in the betting not to qualify, England was 12/1.
England won the group as expected but not without difficulties. They went into the Round of 16 where they faced Slovakia which gave them a hard time after a 2-1 game.
England's quarter-final opponents were Swiss and this was another tough matchup for the Three Lions as the game went to penalties shootout.
If they win their semi-final match with Netherlands, they will face either Spain or France in the finals.
My personal favourites for the outright winner of Euro 2024
Can England be trusted to win Euro 2024? Out of Europe’s top teams, France looks the most dangerous team and the biggest threat to Gareth Southgate’s men. But going on current form, it’s not hard to see why England are the betting favourites to win the competition.
They have a great mix of youth and experience, in-form players, and they have been building towards a tournament win with a semi-final appearance at the 2018 World Cup and an appearance in the final of Euro 2020.
It just feels like England’s time, and where better for Gareth Southgate to finally redeem himself for that infamous missed penalty in 1996. Winning a major tournament in Germany’s backyard would certainly right that wrong for the England Head Coach in what is likely to be his last tournament in charge of his nation.
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About the author
Dean Etheridge
Dean Etheridge is an experienced freelance sports betting writer who specialises in football. He predominantly covers the Premier League and Champions League but can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn ()
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